Journal papers

Sospedra-Alfonso, R., and Coauthors, (2024) Decadal prediction centers prepare for a major volcanic eruption. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., in press, doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-23-0111.1.
Ono, K., Katara, I., Eliasen, S. K., Broms, C., Campbell, A., dos Santos Schmidt, T. C., Egan, A., Hølleland, S. N., Jacobsen, J. A., Jansen, T., Mackinson, S ., Mousing, E. A., Nash, R. D. M., Nikolioudakis, N., Nnanatu, C., Nøttestad, L., Singh, W., Slotte, A., Wieland, K., Olafsdottir, A. H. (2024) Effect of environmental drivers on the spatiotemporal distribution of mackerel at age in the Nordic Seas during 2010−20, ICES Journal of Marine Science, 81 (7): 1282–1294, doi: 10.1093/icesjms/fsae087.
Fuentes, G., Wallace, S. W., & Ådland, R. O. (2024) The effects of waiting times on the bunkering decision for tramp ships. Maritime Transport Research, 6: 100106, doi: 10.1016/j.martra.2024.100106.
Solbrekke, I. M., Sorteberg, A. (2024) Norwegian offshore wind power—Spatial planning using multi-criteria decision analysis (2024) Wind Energy, 27(1): 5-32. doi:10.1002/we.2871
Boljka, L., Bethke, I., Tao, D., Li, C. (2024) Upstream influence of midlatitude jeg stream biases in boral summer. Atmospheric Science Letters, e1272, doi: 10.1002/asl.1272.
Bremer, S., Meisch, S., Hempel, M., Dunn-Sigouin, E. (2024) Adapting seasonal beekeeping patterns in western Norway. Time & Society. doi: 10.1177/0961463X2412750
Silva, E., Brajard, J., Counillon, F., Pettersson, L. H., Naustvoll, L. (2024) Probabilistic models for harmful algae: application to the Norwegian Coast. Environmental Data Science, 3, 2024 , e12, doi: 10.1017/eds.2024.11
Kolstad, E. W., O’Reilly, C. (2024) Causal oceanic feedbacks onto the winter NAO. Climate Dynamics, 62, 4223-4236, doi: 10.1007/s00382-024-07128-y

Ogilvie, A. E. J., King, L A., Keenlyside, N., Counillon F. et al.(2024) Recent ventures in interdisciplinary Arctic research: The ARCPATH Project. Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, doi: 10.1007/s00376-023-3333-x.
Garcia-Oliva, L., Counillon, F., Bethke, I., Keenlyside, N. (2024) Intercomparison of initialization methods for seasonal-to-decadal climate predictions with the NorCPM. Climate Dynamics, 62: 5425-5444, doi: 10.1007/s00382-024-07170-w.

Iversen, E. K., Grimsrud, K., Lindhjem, H. Navrud, S. (2024) Montains of trouble: Accounting for environmental cost of land use change from tourism development. Tourism Management. 102: 104870, doi: 10.1016/j.tourman.2023.104870

Iversen, E. K., Dugstad, A. (2024) Spatial dimensions in stated preference valuation: The role of place attachment. Land Use Policy, 136: 106971, doi: 10.1016/j.landusepol.2023.106971

Afargan-Gerstman, H., Büeler, D., Wulff, C. O. W., Sprenger, M., Domeisen, D. I.V. (2024) Stratospheric influence
on the winter North Atlantic storm track in subseasonal reforecasts. Weather and Climate Dynamics, 5, 231-249, doi: 10.5194/wcd-5-231-2024
Polkova, I., Swingedouw, D., Hermanson, L., Köhl, A., Stammer, D., Smith, D., Kröger, J., Bethke, I., Yang X., Zhang, L., Nicolì, D., Athanasiadis, P. J., Karami, M. P., Pankatz, K., Pohlmann, H., Wu, B., Bilbao, R., Ortega, P., Yang, S., Sospedra-Alfonso, R., Merryfield, W., Kataoka, T., Tatebe, H., Imada, Y., Ishii M., Matear, R. J. (2023) Initialization shock in the ocean circulation reduces skill in decadal predictions of the North Atlantic subpolar gyre. Frontiers in Climate, 5, doi: 10.3389/fclim.2023.1273770

Rivas Camargo, D. A., Counillon, F. S., Keenlyside, N. S. (2023) On dynamical downscaling of ENSO-induced oceanic anomalies off Baja California Peninsula, Mexico: role of the air-sea heat flux. Frontiers in Marine Science, 10, doi: 10.3389/fmars.2023.1179649

Tedesco, P. S, Lenkoski, F. A., Bloomfield, H. C., Sillmann, J. (2023) Gaussian copula modeling of extreme cold and weak-wind events over Europe conditioned on winter weather regimes. Environmental Research Letters, 18, doi: 1748-9326
/acb6aa

Paasche, Ø. (2023) Om betydningen av et nytt klimaregime. Nytt Norsk Tidsskrift, 40: 215-223, doi: 10.18261/nnt.40.2-3.12

King, M. P., Keenlyside, N. S. & Li, C. (2023) ENSO teleconnections in terms of non-NAO and NAO atmospheric variability. Climate Dynamics, 61: 2717–2733, doi: 10.1007/s00382-023-06697-8

O’Kane, T. J. et al. (2023) Recent applications and potential of near-term (interannual to decadal) climate predictions Frontiers in Climate, 5, doi: 10.3389/fclim.2023.1121626

Brajard, J. et al. (2023) Enhancing seasonal forecast skills by optimally weighting the ensemble from fresh data Weather and Forecasting, 38: 1241-1252, doi: 10.1175/WAF-D-22-0166.1

Silva, E. et al (2023) Forecasting harmful algae blooms: application to Dinophysis acuminata in northern Norway Harmful Algae, 126: 102442, doi: 10.1016/j.hal.2023.102442.

Counillon, F. et al (2023) Framework for an ocean-connected supermodel of the Earth System. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 15, doi:10.1029/2022MS003310

Fransner et al. (2023) Phytoplankton abundance in the Barents Sea is predictable up to five years in advance Nature Communications Earth & Environment, 4: 114, doi: 10.1038/s43247-023-00791-9

Gao, S., Schwinger, J., Tjiputra, J., Bethke, I. et al. (2023) Riverine impact on future projections of marine primary production and carbon uptake. Biogeosciences, 20: 93-119, doi: 10.5194/bg-20-93-2023.

Roksvåg, T., Lenkoski, A., Scheuerer, M., Heinrich-Mertsching, C. & Thorarinsdottir, T.L. (2022) Probabilistic prediction of the time to hard freeze using seasonal weather forecasts and survival time methods. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 1–20. doi: 10.1002/qj.4403

Kolstad, E. W., Lee, S. H., Butler, A. H., Domeisen, D. I. V., & Wulff, C. O. (2022): Diverse surface signatures of stratospheric polar vortex anomalies. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 127, e2022JD037422. DOI: 10.1029/2022JD037422
Hovdahl, I. (2022): The deadly effect of day-to-day temperature variation in the United States. Environ. Res. Lett. 17 104031. DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ac9297
Barthélémy, S., Brajard, J., Bertino, L. et al.Super-resolution data assimilation. Ocean Dynamics (2022). DOI: 10.1007/s10236-022-01523-x

Berentsen, G. D., Bulla, j., Maruotti, A, Støve, B. (2022) Modelling clusters of corporate defaults: Regime-switching models significantly reduce the contagion source. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series C, 1–25 (early online release), doi: 10.1111/rssc.12551.

Kolstad, E. W., & MacLeod, D. (2022). Lagged Oceanic Effects on the East African Short Rains. Climate Dynamics, doi: 10.1007/s00382-022-06176-6.
Domeisen, D. I. V., White, C. J., Afargan-Gerstman, H., et al. (2022) Advances in the Subseasonal Prediction of Extreme Events: Relevant Case Studies across the Globe. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 103: E1473-E1501, doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-20-0221.1
Lawrence, Z., Abalos, M., Ayarzagüena, B., Barriopedro, D. E., et al. (2022) Quantifying stratospheric biases and identifying their potential sources in subseasonal forecast systems. Weather and Climate Dynamics. doi: 10.5194/wcd-3-977-2022.
Meisch, S., M. Hempel, S. R. Bremer, E. Dunn-Sigouin (2022) Changing beekeeping seasons in Vestland, Norway. In Transforming food systems: ethics, innovation and responsibility. Editors: D. Bruce and A. Bruce, p 69-75. doi: 10.3920/978-90-8686-939-8_9.
Yuan, Q., Thorarinsdottir, T. L., Beldring, S., Wong, W. K., Xu, C.-Y. (2021) Bridging the scale gap: obtaining high-resolution stochastic simulations of gridded daily precipitation in a future climate. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 25: 5259-5275, doi: 10.5194/hess-25-5259-2021.
Bethke, I., Wang, Y., Counillon, F. S., Keenlyside, N. S., Kimmritz, M., Fransner, F., Samuelsen, A., Langehaug, H. R., Svendsen, L., Chiu, P-G., Passos, L. G., Bentsen, M., Guo, C., Gupta, A. K., Tjiputra, J., Kirkevåg, A., Oliviè, D. J. L., Seland, Ø., Vågane, J. S., Fan, Y., Eldevik, T. (2021) NorCPM1 and its contribution to CMIP6 DCPP. Geoscientific Model Development, 14: 7073-7116, doi: 10.5194/gmd-14-7073-2021.

Silva., E., Counillon, F., Brajard, J., Korosov, A., Pettersson, L. H., Samuelsen, A., & Keenlyside, N. (2021) Twenty-One Years of Phytoplankton Bloom Phenology in the Barents, Norwegian, and North Seas. Frontiers in Marine Science, 8: 746327, doi: 10.3389/fmars.2021.746327.

Kolstad, E. W., MacLeod, D., & Demissie, T. D. (2021) Drivers of subseasonal forecasting of the East African short rains. Geophysical Research Letters, 48, e2021GL093292, doi: 10.1029/2021GL093292.

Not peer-reviewed

Lenkoski, A., Kolstad, E. W. & Thorarinsdottir, T. L. (2022) Benchmarking Dataset for Seasonal Weather Forecasts. Norsk Regnesentral rapport SAMBA/01/22 (27.01.2022).